ICML 2026将在2026年7月6日—11日于韩国首尔(Seoul, South Korea)举行。本文总结了2026 ICML上有关时间序列预测(time series forecasting)相关论文。如有疏漏,欢迎大家补充。
注:由于时间序列(标题包含time series或time-series)的论文高达125篇(其中两篇可以算作时空,除去还有123篇),笔者将分为上中下3篇推文来总结,本文主要涉及时间序列预测(Time Seires Forecasting, TSF)的论文,涉及53篇。
时间序列预测Topic:LLM,时间序列基础模型,不规则时序,非平稳时序,稳健时间序列预测,不确定性量化等。
1. L-Drive: Beyond a Single Mapping—Latent Context Drives Time Series Forecasting2. ConFlux: Multivariate Time Series in Flux, One Unified Forecast in Confluence3. PESD-TSF: A Period-Aware and Explicit Structured Decomposition Framework for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting4. Parameter Decorrelation via Transition-Variance Alignment for Multivariate Time-series Forecasting5. It's TIME: Towards the Next Generation of Time Series Forecasting Benchmarks6. DropoutTS: Sample-Adaptive Dropout for Robust Time Series Forecasting7. Time-series forecasting through the lens of dynamics8. Benchmarking Physics-Informed Time-Series Models for Operational Global Station Weather Forecasting9. Byte Pair Encoding for Efficient Time Series Forecasting10. TimeGuard: Channel-wise Pool Training for Backdoor Defense in Time Series Forecasting11. What if Tomorrow is the World Cup Final? Counterfactual Time Series Forecasting with Textual Conditions12. Beyond Point Predictions: Manifold Expansion and Dual Alignment for Robust Time Series Distillation13. Channel Adapter for Time Series Foundation Models in Zero-Shot Multivariate Forecasting14. Beyond Extrapolation: Knowledge Utilization Paradigm with Bidirectional Inspiration for Time Series Forecasting15. Invariant Representation Learning for Source-Free Time Series Forecasting with LLM-Centric Proxy Denoising16. FIPN: Forward Self-Organizing Interpretable Polynomial Networks for Time Series Forecasting17. Anti-Aliasing Matters: A Dynamic Network for Time Series Forecasting18. DSENet: A Novel Dual-Stream Enhancement Network for Multi-Scale Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting19. Crisp: A Spectral-Based Interaction Strategy for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting20. Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting21. KITE: Knowledge-Guided Probabilistic Modeling for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variables22. TsLLM: Augmenting LLMs for General Time Series Understanding and Prediction23. ReNF: Rethinking the Principles of Neural Long-Term Time Series Forecasters24. Reviving Error Correction in Modern Deep Time-Series Forecasting25. MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning26. Delving into Non-Exchangeability for Conformal Prediction in Graph-Structured Multivariate Time Series27. TSFAdv: Frequency-Guided Black-Box Adversarial Attacks on Time Series Forecasting28. Parametric Prior Mapping Framework for Non-stationary Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting29. Dynamic TMoE: A Drift-Aware Dynamic Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting30. Ellipsoidal Time Series Forecasting31. Conditional Quantile Adjusted Conformal Prediction for Time Series32. CoGenCast: A Coupled Autoregressive–Flow Generative Framework for Time Series Forecasting33. StretchTime: Adaptive Time Series Forecasting via Symplectic Attention34. Robust Inter-Series Dependency Modeling for Time Series Forecasting via Information-Theoretic Alignment35. CombinationTS: A Modular Framework for Understanding Time-Series Forecasting Models36. See More, Forecast Better and Faster: Enhancing Time Series Foundation Models via Inference-Time Plug-and-Play Downsampling37. Taming the Recent-Data Bias: Towards Robust Time Series Forecasting with Global Context38. KineFlow: Kinematic Second-Order Flow Matching for Time-Series Forecasting39. From Observations to States: Latent Time Series Forecasting40. Baguan-TS: dual in-context learning model for time series forecasting with covariates41. Position: Current Benchmarking Hinders Real Progress in Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting42. TimeMRA: LLM-Empowered Time Series Forecasting via Multi-Scale Retrieval-Augmented Representations43. Rethinking Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting Evaluation44. Bridging Time and Frequency: A Joint Modeling Framework for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting45. DAG: A Dual Correlation Network for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variables46. SEER: Transformer-based Robust Time Series Forecasting via Automated Patch Enhancement and Replacement47. TimeSeed: Effective Time Series Forecasting with Sparse Endogenous Variables48. Information Geometry Loss for Time Series Forecasting49. KUMA: A Novel Framework with Koopman Separation and Efficient Multilevel Extraction in Time Series Forecasting50. Revealing Scaling Behavior in Large-scale Time Series Models: Implications for More Efficient and Accurate Forecasting51. PULSE: Generative Phase Evolution for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting52. Not All Frequencies Are Equal: Energy-Adaptive Diffusion for Time Series Forecasting53. MoRGEN: Mixture-of-Resolutions Generative Forecasting for Irregularly Sampled Medical Time-Series Data |
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点击文末阅读原文跳转笔者知乎链接(跳转论文链接更方便)
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64484
作者:Fan Zhang ⋅ Shijun Chen ⋅ Hua Wang
关键词:隐式上下文驱动,变化感知
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61370
作者:Shiyu Wang ⋅ Yuchen Fang ⋅ Juntong Ni ⋅ Ziyi Zhang ⋅ Baichuan Mo ⋅ Xinyue Zhong ⋅ Chengxin Wang ⋅ Zhou Ye ⋅ Yang Xiang
关键词:百川归海
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65742
作者:Hua Wang ⋅ Xianhao jiao ⋅ Fan Zhang
关键词:周期感知,显式结构分解
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64647
作者:Ji-Eun Choi ⋅ Jae-Hong Lee ⋅ Joon Hyuk Chang
关键词:转移方差对齐,马尔科夫链
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66086
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.12147v3
代码:https://github.com/zqiao11/TIME
作者:Zhongzheng Qiao ⋅ SHENG PAN ⋅ Anni Wang ⋅ Viktoriya Zhukova ⋅ Yong Liu ⋅ Xudong Jiang ⋅ Qingsong Wen ⋅ Mingsheng Long ⋅ Ming Jin ⋅ Chenghao Liu
关键词:benchmark,基础模型
TIME: 突破时序基础模型评估瓶颈, 下一代任务驱动时序预测Benchmark

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66019
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21726v1
作者: Siru Zhong ⋅ Yiqiu Liu ⋅ Zhiqing Cui ⋅ Zezhi Shao ⋅ Fei Wang ⋅ Qingsong Wen ⋅ Yuxuan Liang
关键词:频域,样本自适应
ICML 2026|DropoutTS:从”学什么”到”学多少”的鲁棒时间序列预测

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64363
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2507.15774v2
作者:Alexis-Raja Brachet ⋅ Pierre-Yves Richard ⋅ Céline Hudelot
关键词:数据底层动态

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65039
arXiv:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.14399
代码:https://github.com/taohan10200/WEATHER-5K
作者:Tao Han ⋅ Zhibin Wen ⋅ Zhenghao Chen ⋅ Dazhao Du ⋅ Song Guo ⋅ LEI BAI
关键词:天气预报,物理驱动的时序模型

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64868
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2505.14411v3
作者: Leon Götz ⋅ Marcel Kollovieh ⋅ Stephan Günnemann ⋅ Leo Schwinn
关键词:token化,解码

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64726
作者:Quang Duc Nguyen ⋅ Siyuan Liang ⋅ Yiming Li ⋅ Fushuo Huo ⋅ Dacheng Tao
关键词:后门防御
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65690
作者:Shuqi Gu ⋅ Yongxiang Zhao ⋅ Baoyu Jing ⋅ Kan Ren
关键词:反事实,多模态

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65540
作者:Junyao Hong ⋅ Zesheng Lai ⋅ Xinyi Xiao ⋅ Suyang Zhou ⋅ Aodong Shen ⋅ Youyong Kong
关键词:知识蒸馏,双重对齐,流形扩展
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64366
作者:Dongyuan Li ⋅ Renhe Jiang ⋅ Shun Zheng ⋅ Zheng Dong ⋅ Haotian Gao ⋅ Ying Zhang ⋅ Jiang Bian
关键词:通道自适应,零样本
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63442
作者:Liu Chong ⋅ Yingjie Zhou ⋅ Hao Li ⋅ Pengyang Wang ⋅ Qingsong Wen ⋅ Ce Zhu
关键词:知识利用,双向启发
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66175
作者:Kangjia Yan ⋅ Chenxi Liu ⋅ Hao Miao ⋅ Xinle Wu ⋅ Yan Zhao ⋅ Chenjuan Guo ⋅ Bin Yang
关键词:迁移学习,LLM
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64118
作者:YiZhen Wang ⋅ Zheng Wang ⋅ EUN-HU KIM ⋅ Zunwei Fu
关键词:自组织,可解释,多项式
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62513
作者:Heng Zhou ⋅ Xin Sun ⋅ Chao Li
关键词:频谱混叠,动态网络
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62164
作者:Yuhan Wang ⋅ Yuanyuan Zou ⋅ Jie Cheng ⋅ Bin Dai ⋅ Jinhong Guo
关键词:多尺度,非平稳,医疗时序
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63011
作者:Binwu Wang ⋅ Gaoyun Lin ⋅ Jiaming Ma ⋅ Qihe Huang ⋅ Zhengyang Zhou ⋅ Xu Wang ⋅ Pengkun Wang ⋅ Yang Wang
关键词:谱先验
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64886
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2509.23074v2
作者:Wanjin Feng ⋅ Yuan Yuan ⋅ Ding ⋅ Yong Li
关键词:线性利用率,可预测漂移
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65231
作者:Hanyin Cheng ⋅ Jingrong Zhou ⋅ Yang Shu ⋅ Chenjuan Guo
关键词:协变量预测,不确定性量化
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61098
作者:Felix Parker ⋅ Nimeesha Chan ⋅ Chi Zhang ⋅ Kimia Ghobadi
关键词:LLM,时序理解
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62639
作者:Yihang Lu ⋅ Xianwei Meng ⋅ Enhong Chen
关键词:神经预测模型,自回归
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63134
作者:Minh Nguyen ⋅ Van Dai Do ⋅ Huu Nguyen ⋅ Dung Nguyen ⋅ Kien Do ⋅ Hung Le
关键词:误差校正机制
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64890
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.03164v1
代码:https://github.com/Xiaoyu-Tao/MemCast-TS
作者:Xiaoyu Tao ⋅ Mingyue Cheng ⋅ Ze Guo ⋅ Shuo Yu ⋅ Yaguo Liu ⋅ Qi Liu ⋅ Shijin Wang
关键词:记忆机制,推理
ztxtech:MemCast:基于经验记忆的时间序列预测新框架

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66198
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04957v1
作者:Ruichao Guo ⋅ Xingyao Han ⋅ Wenshui Luo ⋅ Zhe Liu ⋅ Chen Gong ⋅ Hesheng Wang
关键词:共形预测,不确定性量化

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66215
作者:Qizhuo Han ⋅ Xiangrui Cai ⋅ Sihan Xu ⋅ Ying Zhang ⋅ Zheli Liu
关键词:黑盒对抗攻击
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61351
作者:Jinglin Li ⋅ Jun Tan ⋅ QI Fang ⋅ Ning Gui
关键词:非平稳时序,概率预测
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64808
作者:Jiawen Zhu ⋅ Shuhan Liu ⋅ Di Weng ⋅ Yingcai Wu
关键词:非平稳时序,MoE
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65519
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2505.17370v6
作者:Qilin Wang
关键词:谱结构,有效预测时长(EPT)

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64983
作者:Cheng Yu ⋅ Zhoufan Zhu ⋅ Ke Zhu
关键词:条件分位数,共形预测
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64629
arXiv:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.03564
作者:Yaguo Liu ⋅ Mingyue Cheng ⋅ Daoyu Wang ⋅ Xiaoyu Tao ⋅ Qi Liu
关键词:自回归,流匹配

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66150
作者:Yubin Kim ⋅ Viresh Pati ⋅ Jevon Twitty ⋅ Vinh Pham ⋅ Shihao Yang ⋅ Jiecheng Lu
关键词:辛注意力,旋转位置编码
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63281
作者:Wuqing Yu ⋅ Weichen Guo ⋅ Jian Zhou ⋅ Shuyu Luo ⋅ Jiacai Zhang
关键词:图 Transformer ,周期性
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65509
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.01231v1
作者:Xiaorui Wang ⋅ Fanda Fan ⋅ Chenxi Wang ⋅ Yuxuan Yang ⋅ Rui Tang ⋅ Kuoyu Gao ⋅ simiao pang ⋅ Yuanfeng Shang ⋅ Liu ⋅ Gao ⋅ Lei Wang ⋅ Jianfeng Zhan
关键词:模块化归因

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64120
作者:Longlong Xu ⋅ Zeyan Li ⋅ Xiao He ⋅ Zhaoyang Yu ⋅ Dazhong Wen ⋅ Mingze Sun ⋅ Changhua Pei ⋅ Dan Pei
关键词:时序基础模型,下采样,插件
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62481
作者:Longlong Xu ⋅ Zeyan Li ⋅ Xiao He ⋅ Zhaoyang Yu ⋅ Changhua Pei ⋅ Zhe Xie ⋅ Zijun Dou ⋅ Tieying Zhang ⋅ Dan Pei
关键词:近期数据偏差,全局上下文
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66194
作者:Haiqi Jiang ⋅ Hui Xiong
关键词:流匹配,生成式,运动学
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61261
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00297v1
代码:https://github.com/Muyiiiii/LatentTSF
作者:Jie Yang ⋅ Yifan Hu ⋅ Yuante Li ⋅ Kexin Zhang ⋅ Kaize Ding ⋅ Philip Yu
关键词:隐空间时间序列预测

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/60703
arXiv:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17439
作者:Linxiao Yang ⋅ Xue Jiang ⋅ Gezheng Xu ⋅ Tian Zhou ⋅ Min Yang ⋅ Zhaoyang Zhu ⋅ Linyuan Geng ⋅ Zhipeng Zeng ⋅ Qiming Chen ⋅ Xinyue Gu ⋅ Rong Jin ⋅ Liang Sun
关键词:上下文学习,协变量
AI论文速读 | Baguan-TS:面向含协变量时间序列预测的序列原生上下文学习模型

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/67106
arXiv:https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.22702
作者:Valentina Moretti ⋅ Andrea Cini ⋅ Ivan Marisca ⋅ Cesare Alippi
关键词:辅助预测模型卡片
AI论文速读 | 深度时序预测什么才是关键?四大设计维度拆解虚假进步,重塑评估标准

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62393
作者:Zongjiang Shang ⋅ Chengxi Jin ⋅ Binqing Wu ⋅ Dongliang Cui ⋅ Yue Yu ⋅ Haobang Sun ⋅ Chuanlin Xu ⋅ Ling Chen
关键词:LLM,RAG
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63015
作者:Haoxin Liu ⋅ Yichen Zhou ⋅ Rajat Sen ⋅ B. Aditya Prakash ⋅ Abhimanyu Das
关键词:多模态时序预测评估
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/65148
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00582v1
作者:Xiangfei Qiu ⋅ Kangjia Yan ⋅ Xvyuan Liu ⋅ Xingjian Wu ⋅ Jilin Hu
关键词:不规则时序,时频联合建模

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/62103
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2509.14933v2
作者:Xiangfei Qiu ⋅ Yuhan Zhu ⋅ Zhengyu Li ⋅ Xingjian Wu ⋅ Bin Yang ⋅ Jilin Hu
关键词:协变量,未来可知/近似可知协变量

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61675
arXiv:http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00589v1
作者:Xiangfei Qiu ⋅ Xvyuan Liu ⋅ Tianen Shen ⋅ Xingjian Wu ⋅ Hanyin Cheng ⋅ Bin Yang ⋅ Jilin Hu
关键词:稳健性,Patch增强与替换
科学最TOP:ICML26|SEER:用MoE+可学习Patch替换,做鲁棒的时序预测

链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/61541
作者:Zhaowang Wu ⋅ Kaixin Deng ⋅ Hua Yan
关键词:稀疏内生预测
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66595
作者:Jiayu Fang ⋅ Xuande Liu ⋅ Sangsha Fang ⋅ Zhen Tian ⋅ Hongwei Ma ⋅ Zhiqi Shao ⋅ Junbin Gao
关键词:信息几何损失,不确定性量化
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64743
作者:Sijie Xiong ⋅ Cheng Tang ⋅ Atsushi Shimada
关键词:U 型多层注意力,库普曼
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/63243
作者:Xin Qiu ⋅ Junlong Tong ⋅ Yirong Sun ⋅ Yunpu Ma ⋅ Anhao Zhao
关键词:少层主导效应,LLM4TS,时序基础模型
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64838
作者:Yangyou Liu ⋅ Zezhi Shao ⋅ Xinyu Chen ⋅ Hu Chen ⋅ Fei Wang ⋅ Yuankai Wu
关键词:非平稳时序,相位
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/66318
作者:Zining Qin ⋅ Huiling qin ⋅ Chenhao Wang ⋅ Jianxiong Guo ⋅ Tian Wang ⋅ Weijia Jia
关键词:扩散模型,小波,能量模型
链接:https://icml.cc/virtual/2026/poster/64999
作者:Nassim Oufattole ⋅ Matthew McDermott ⋅ Collin Stultz
关键词:多分辨率混合生成模型,不规则时序